The year 2008 marked another thrilling chapter as Delhi geared up for the assembly elections. Congress held the reins of power under the capable leadership of Chief Minister Sheila Dikshit. The opposition, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), wrestled with fragmentations and strategic missteps despite their fierce campaigning. What made this election unique was that it came immediately after delimitation, which completely reshaped the political geography and voter demographics, challenging political parties to adapt their strategies. The results brought unexpected spotlight to a new player, the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP), which, for the first time, tasted victory in Delhi by securing 2 seats with 14% of the vote share.
Following delimitation, Congress celebrated a consecutive third-term victory by capturing 43 seats, with a vote share of 40.3%. The BJP secured 23 seats, attaining 36.3% of the votes. Additionally, an independent candidate and Lok Jan Shakti Party each won a seat.
Explore the dynamics of the Delhi Assembly Election of 2008...
A Glance at Forfeited Deposits
The Delhi Assembly Election of 2008 saw an enormous participation of 69 parties, including the BJP, Congress, and independent contenders. Out of 875 total candidates, the deposits of 711 were forfeited, which means 81% of these hopefuls couldn't secure even one-sixth (16.67%) of the valid votes. This primarily encompassed smaller parties and independent candidates.
The main showdown was between Congress and the BJP, with BSP emerging as runner-up in 5 seats. Independent candidates, NCP, RJD, and Shiromani Akali Dal (Simranjit) trailed behind with one seat each, while the rest lost their deposits.
Congress' Winning Streak Was Waning...
The triumphant third consecutive win augmented Congress' dominance in Delhi. However, the victory did involve subtle signs of caution. The party's stronghold in seats declined steadily over the years. From 52 seats in 1998, they were reduced to 43 by 2008. The vote share declined from 47.8% in 1998 to 40.3% in 2008, indicating that 7.5% of voters distanced themselves from the Congress over a decade.
The BJP’s Growing Comeback
Despite a third consecutive electoral defeat for the BJP, internal politics seemed to eclipse their campaign success. However, the BJP showed increments in seats and vote shares—winning 15 seats with a 34% vote share in 1998, 20 seats with 35.2% share in 2003, and 23 seats with a 36.3% vote share in 2008. Earlier, the BJP had secured 49 seats in the 1993 election with 42.80% of the vote share. With Delhi having a total of 70 seats, reaching the magic number 36 is crucial for government formation.
What Was This Delhi Election About?
2008 saw 1,07,22,979 registered voters, with 61,77,342 actual votes cast, resulting in a 57.6% voter turnout. Sheila Dikshit's leadership and focus on expanding infrastructure, such as metro extensions, sophisticated road networks, and flyovers, earned significant praise, propelling Congress to victory. Meanwhile, the BJP faced disappointment, failing to dislodge Congress from power. BSP’s debut win on two seats indicated its emerging influence. The elections in Rajendra Nagar were delayed due to the unfortunate demise of BJP candidate Pooran Chand Yogi, resulting in a subsequent victory for Congress's Ramakant Goswami, who had earlier triumphed from Patel Nagar in 2003.
Vijay Malhotra's Strategy Didn't Pan Out?
Both Sheila Dikshit from Congress and Vijay Kumar Malhotra from the BJP contested as the Chief Ministerial candidates in this fourth Delhi assembly election. Amidst expectations, Congress' Sheila Dikshit emerged superior, overshadowing BJP's Vijay Kumar Malhotra strategy, which didn't achieve the anticipated success, as the party settled with 23 seats and a few others handed over to minor allies. Sheila Dikshit became a celebrated figure, being the first woman to lead a party to three consecutive victories in the state.
Delimitation Reshaped Electoral Equations
Before this election, there was a redrawing of the legislative assembly and Lok Sabha constituencies. Each Lok Sabha constituency now comprised 10 assembly constituencies. The reserved seats for Scheduled Castes were reduced. The Patparganj seat was converted from reserved to general and reorganized within the Kondli Assembly area, leading to shifts in election outcomes as seen with BJP's past victory in 1993 and subsequent wins by Congress's Anil Kumar in 2008.
What Were the Main Issues in the Delhi Election?
The 2008 Delhi assembly elections were charged with political fervor as the BJP accused the Congress government of several failures and adopted an aggressive campaign strategy. Inflation and rising costs of essentials like petrol, diesel, and basic commodities became central issues. The party targeted Congress on electricity and water bill hikes, corruption, and lack of significant development. Power cuts and water supply became poignant concerns. The BJP's agenda emphasized Yamuna river cleanup and pollution controls, with promises of better housing for slum residents. The policies of the UPA government at the center were criticized for adding to Delhi's woes. However, the BJP lost focus amid internal rifts.
Congress’ Promises in 2008
In contrast, the Congress, led by Sheila Dikshit, championed its development achievements over the past decade. The party ran a campaign filled with optimism, highlighting the transformation of Delhi's infrastructure, seamless roadways, and metro expansion as key successes. Rehabilitation schemes and affordable housing for slum residents were major talking points. The focus was also on regulating colonies to legitimize unauthorized establishments. Enhancements in public hospitals and primary healthcare services were outlined along with improved women's safety initiatives. Ongoing Commonwealth Games projects demonstrated visible progress to voters.
Did 2008 Results Foretell Future Triumphs or Mere Political Respite?
The monumental third consecutive victory was indeed a triumph for Congress and Sheila Dikshit, showcasing the tangible benefits of infrastructure advancements to the electorate. It was a morale booster before the upcoming 2009 Lok Sabha elections. Winning a major urban center implied sustained popular support. However, it was also a lesson in comprehending the urban electorate's demands.
BJP Faced Leadership Hurdles
The electoral defeat posed concerns for the BJP, having mounted significant accusations against Congress concerning price hikes, corruption, and development delays. Despite these, the BJP couldn't substantially connect with voters. The lack of a charismatic leader akin to Congress's Sheila Dikshit and internal issues detracted from an effective electoral campaign. Unity concerns and factionalism hindered their progress.
'Delhi Needs Concrete Solutions and Planning'
Although the BJP increased its seat count slightly to 23 from the previous 20, it was far from reaching the power threshold, reflecting an attempted, yet insufficient challenge to Congress. This underscored the demand from urban voters for some tangible plans rather than mere criticism.