Weather Update:
As monsoon bids farewell to many states, the Southwest Monsoon is expected to withdraw from the rest of the country by October 18. However, before its departure, intense rainfall continues in states like Tamil Nadu and Kerala. The Meteorological Department has issued a rain alert for October 15.
Turning to the weather in Delhi-NCR, rapid changes are occurring. Locals feel the chill of morning and evening, and many households have switched off air conditioning in favor of fans. The Meteorological Department forecasts generally cloudy skies today. Let's explore the nationwide weather forecast.
Weather in Delhi
According to the Meteorological Department, from October 15 to 18, minimum temperatures might hover around 19°C, with maximums reaching 35°C. Skies are expected to be clear or occasionally cloudy, while chilly sensations linger at night and morning.
Delhi Temperature
Source: aajtak
Monsoon Retreated from Bihar and Jharkhand
The southwest monsoon has retreated from remaining parts of Bihar and Jharkhand, and it has receded from parts of West Bengal, Sikkim, Chhattisgarh, and Madhya Pradesh, along with remaining parts of Odisha, Assam, Meghalaya, and the northwest Bay of Bengal. Favorable conditions exist for the monsoon's withdrawal from parts of Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, Assam, Meghalaya, Arunachal Pradesh, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, Maharashtra, and northern Bay of Bengal over the next two days.
Monsoon Withdrawal Expected by October 18
The Southwest Monsoon is anticipated to retreat from remaining parts of the region by October 18. During this period, northeast monsoon activity could begin in the southeast peninsular region due to easterly and northeasterly winds over southern Peninsula, South, and adjoining central Bay of Bengal. A low-pressure area over the central Arabian Sea has turned into a depression, expected to advance toward the Oman coast in the next two days.
Weather Activity in the Next 24 Hours
According to Skymet, the upcoming 24 hours may witness moderate to heavy rainfall in Tamil Nadu, Kerala, South Interior Karnataka, and Coastal Andhra Pradesh. Telangana, Konkan, and Goa might experience light to moderate rainfall with occasional heavy showers.
Light to moderate rainfall is also possible in Vidarbha, Marathwada, Central Maharashtra, South Gujarat, and South Madhya Pradesh. Likewise, Northeast India, Sikkim, Odisha, Chhattisgarh, Southeastern Rajasthan, Lakshadweep, and the Andaman and Nicobar Islands may see light showers. Intense rain is anticipated over several districts of MP, Maharashtra, and Southern Gujarat in the next two days, including heavy rains across Tamil Nadu, Kerala, and Karnataka, with coastal Andhra Pradesh districts.
Flood Threat in Specific Areas
A cyclonic circulation over the Southeast Bay of Bengal has generated a low-pressure area, now more organized and shifting toward central parts of the southern Bay of Bengal. This is likely to strengthen into a depression or deep depression within 24 hours, heading west-northwest to approach the eastern coast of Sri Lanka near the southwest Bay of Bengal. It is likely to evolve into a tropical storm near the Tamil Nadu coast.
A low-pressure area over southeast Bay of Bengal continued as of 2330 IST, October 14, 2024. It is expected to move west-northwest to become a well-marked low-pressure area over…
— India Meteorological Department (@Indiametdept)
From October 15 night till October 16, extensive to very heavy showers might lash Tamil Nadu's coastal stretch from Chennai to Kanyakumari. Central coastal zones such as Puducherry, Karaikal, Nagapattinam, Tondi, and Tuticorin could confront flood-like situations. This significant downpour will extend into the state's interior, reaching regions like Trichy, Madurai, Thanjavur, Erode, Karur, Tiruppur, Coimbatore, and Ooty.
Heavy Rain Alert for Bengaluru, Mysuru, Mandya, Mangaluru
Heavy rains are also expected in Bengaluru, Mysuru, Mandya, Mangaluru, and Karwar from October 16 to 17. By October 18, conditions should start improving as the weather system moves over the Arabian Sea through the southern peninsula. From October 15 to 17, intermittent rain and thunderstorms are likely in Bengaluru and nearby areas. On October 16, rainfall will likely intensify, though monsoon rains will continue, albeit at a reduced intensity afterward.
