The seven-phase Lok Sabha elections concluded with millions of Indian voters casting their ballots to form a new government, recorded in EVMs (Electronic Voting Machines). During this period, Aajtak.in conducted an online survey, e-Election, striving to gauge the public mood. Now, as the country completes its voting process, exit polls signal a powerful return to power for the NDA, raising questions about where Aajtak.in's readers placed their mandate.
It's noteworthy that approximately a quarter-million individuals participated in this e-Election, of whom nearly 73% expressed a desire to see the BJP-led NDA in power for a third consecutive term, while the opposition Indian Alliance garnered roughly 23% of votes. If these votes were converted into seats, the NDA is estimated to win 397 seats, while the Indian Alliance, led by the Congress, is predicted to secure 121 seats, with 'Others' accounting for around 25 seats.
How Does the e-Election Work?
This e-Election was conducted on a 'one-mobile-number, one-vote' format. It kicked off with the first phase of voting on April 19, opening up the virtual voting lines to the public, and concluded on June 1st with the end of the seventh phase. During this period, more than 130,000 people selected their states and voted for their preferred parties from the contenders. To ensure the authenticity of the vote count and prevent a single person from voting multiple times and skewing the results, each user was allowed to vote only once through their mobile number, which was kept confidential throughout the process.
Who Did Delhi Choose in the Digital Poll?
Looking at Delhi, the e-Election roughly aligns with the majority of exit polls suggesting that the BJP might claim six seats and the Indian Alliance one.
Source: aajtak
Gauging the Voter Sentiment in Uttar Pradesh
Grasping the political pulse of Uttar Pradesh has always been a challenge even for astute political minds. According to the e-Election, the NDA may win 57 seats here, while the Indian Alliance might bag around 20, and 'Others' could get three seats. These results hint at brighter prospects for the Indian Alliance as they predict more seats for them compared to several agency exit polls.
Source: aajtak
The Tightly Contested Southern States
The e-Election results show significant support for BJP in the Northern and Western states of India. In South India, however, the competition between BJP and the parties within the Indian Alliance is neck-to-neck. Despite lackluster performances in the past, the BJP appears to have secured the majority of votes in states like Kerala, Karnataka, and Tamil Nadu.
Sweeping Votes in the Northern-Eastern States
Surveys reveal an Indian Alliance wave in the traditionally BJP-dominant Northeastern region, particularly across ethnic conflict-stricken Manipur, Mizoram, and Nagaland. The results suggest a tough race in Arunachal Pradesh while BJP seems to be favored in Assam. However, the final picture will be unveiled on June 4th with the actual vote count.
Deciphering Rajasthan's Political Landscape
In Rajasthan, according to the e-Election, NDA is estimated to secure 18 seats, while the Congress could claim six, echoing the projections by India Today Axis My India exit polls.
Source: aajtak
NDA's anticipated dominance in Bihar
Bihar, known for its unpredictable political climate sees a consensus between e-Election results and Aajtak's exit polls, both suggesting 29 seats for the NDA, nine for the Indian Alliance, and two for 'Others'.
Source: aajtak
Uttarakhand's Mountain States Lean Towards BJP
The mountain state of Uttarakhand displayed active participation in Aajtak's e-Election, showing a strong preference for the NDA.
Source: aajtak
Forecasting a Robust NDA Victory in Maharashtra
Maharashtra's e-Election performance indicators suggest a 70% vote share for the NDA, with predicted seat allotment favoring BJP's alliance.
Source: aajtak
NDA's Stronghold in Karnataka through Digital Votes
In the e-Elections of Karnataka, the NDA alliance is projected to win a significant majority, indicating overwhelming support for BJP.
Source: aajtak
Gujarat's Partial Sweep for BJP
Gujarat does not show a clean sweep for the BJP this election cycle, despite a strong preference for the party among the voters.
Source: aajtak
E-Election Results Proven Accurate in 2014
The inaugural e-Election conducted before the 2014 Lok Sabha elections turned out to be highly accurate. NDA, led by BJP, emerged victorious in the polls, signaling the accuracy of the e-Election's predictions then and in subsequent years.
BJP Looks Set for a Historic Third Term
The exit polls suggest a hat-trick win for BJP in power—strongly indicating PM Narendra Modi's return for a momentous third term. The majority of surveys align with an NDA victory ranging between 350 to 380 seats.
According to the India Today-Axis My India exit poll, the NDA could gain 361-401 seats and the Indian Alliance might secure 131-166 seats. PM Narendra Modi had set ambitious targets for BJP and NDA seats, with the final results sitting firmly within these projections.
