The electoral battle in Maharashtra and Jharkhand has concluded. Maharashtra saw voting for 288 seats, while in Jharkhand, voters cast their ballots for 38 seats on the second phase, which took place on November 20th. The results for both states will be announced on November 23rd. However, exit poll numbers have already been released.
Focusing first on Maharashtra's 288 seats, exit polls from Matrize, Chanakya Strategies, and JVC suggest an edge for the Mahayuti coalition. In Jharkhand, exit polls also indicate the formation of a government led by the BJP-led NDA alliance. Meanwhile, by-elections for 9 assembly seats in Uttar Pradesh have concluded, with exit polls suggesting a benefit for BJP there as well.
Which Direction Will Maharashtra Turn? Exit Poll Insights
- MATRIZE
exit polls estimate the ruling Mahayuti coalition to secure 150-170 seats. The opposition, MVA, could capture 110-130 seats, while others are anticipated to win 8-10 seats.
- Chanakya Strategies
suggests Mahayuti might get 152 to 160 seats, with the MVA alliance securing 130 to 138 seats. Other smaller parties might win between 6 and 8 seats.
- JVC
predicts Mahayuti at 159 seats, MVA at 116, and others at 13. Specifically in the Marathwada region, Mahayuti could win 19 of the 46 seats, with MVA capturing 25 and others 2 seats. In Thane-Konkan, Mahayuti appears to be gaining a significant advantage, potentially winning 25 out of 39, with MVA getting 11 and others 3 seats.
Who Will Triumph in Jharkhand?
Voting in Jharkhand took place over two phases for its 81 assembly seats. Phase one saw voting on November 13 for 43 seats, while another 38 seats were up for votes on November 20th. The contest here is primarily between the NDA (BJP-AJSU) and the INDIA Block (JMM, Congress). BJP has made numerous promises to gain power, while the Hemant Soren government strives to retain control. With results due on November 23, exit polls currently show NDA in the lead.
- MATRIZE
predicts that the BJP-led NDA alliance could obtain 42-47 of the 81 assembly seats. Meanwhile, the INDIA Block led by Congress might secure 25-30 seats, with others gaining 1-4 seats.
- CHANAKYA STRATEGIES
suggests the NDA could secure 45-50 seats, the INDIA block 35-38, and others might gain 3-5 seats.
- JVC
anticipates NDA acquiring between 40-44 seats, with the INDIA Block securing 30-40. Other parties may receive about one seat.
- C Voter
omitted 20 intensely contested seats from its survey, thus providing its exit poll for 61 of the 81 seats. It estimates the NDA could win 34 of these 61 seats, with the INDIA Block acquiring 26 and others just one. If NDA claims all 20 omitted seats, they could accumulate 54 seats, forming a government. Should these seats go to the INDIA Block, their count would rise to 46, allowing them to reclaim governance. If split equally, NDA would have 44 seats, and INDIA Block 36.
Will the Lotus Bloom in UP or Will Samajwadi Party Shine?
Nine assembly seats in Uttar Pradesh saw voting on November 20th. Exit poll numbers are in, with JVC suggesting BJP might secure 6 seats while Samajwadi Party could gain 3. According to MATRIZE, BJP is estimated to get 7 seats, leaving 2 for the Samajwadi Party.
