After the conclusion of voting in the second phase of the Bihar Assembly elections, exit polls (Poll of Polls) predict a significant return to power for the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA).
According to a compilation of exit polls from various agencies, the Poll of Polls suggests that the NDA could win more than 147 seats, surpassing the magical majority number of 122 in the 243-seat Bihar Assembly. Predictions indicate a larger mandate for the NDA compared to the 125 seats it secured in 2020.
The surprising factor is that Prashant Kishor's Jan Suraj Party (JSP) doesn't seem to have made much of an impact. Almost all agencies, including Chanakya Strategies, Matrize, People’s Insight, and P-Marq, estimate that Jan Suraj will secure between 0 and 2 seats.
Source: aajtak
The MATRIZE-IANS exit poll foresees NDA garnering 48% of the votes, while the opposition alliance is predicted to receive 37%, and others 15%. According to this poll, NDA is likely to win between 147-167 seats, the opposition alliance 70-90 seats, and others 2-10 seats.
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However, experts have cautioned that exit polls are not always accurate; these figures should be viewed with caution. The RJD and Congress-led opposition alliance is predicted to be far behind in second place according to these exit polls.
Also read: In 9 Exit Polls, NDA Predicted to Grab Majority in Bihar - See Estimated Seats per Party
Meanwhile, Prashant Kishor's Jan Suraj Party (JSP), which recently stepped into the political arena, hasn't impressed pollsters. Major agencies, including Chanakya Strategies, Matrize, and People's Pulse, project that his party will not even reach double digits.
Key Election Issues and Political Legacies
The election atmosphere was intensely charged this time. Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Home Minister Amit Shah used several rallies to forward the theme of ‘Development versus Jungle Raj’. On the other hand, Tejashwi Yadav sought public support on promises of tackling unemployment, inflation, and government jobs. Notably, Tejashwi made grand promises like guaranteeing a government job to every family and financial assistance of ₹30,000 to women.
Political observers point out that this election is historic for Nitish Kumar as it might be his last assembly election. Meanwhile, Lalu Prasad Yadav has already handed over the party’s reins to his son Tejashwi Yadav.
