After the recent Lok Sabha elections, now state elections are set to take place. The Election Commission has announced the dates for elections in Haryana and Jammu & Kashmir. After these elections, people in Jharkhand and Maharashtra will also vote to choose their government for the next five years. Delhi, a union territory, will have its elections in February next year, not too far off. To gauge the mood of these election-bound states, India Today and C Voter conducted a survey. According to this survey, what is the message of the people in these political battlegrounds?
What is the mood in Haryana?
Whether it's the government's work, the Chief Minister's performance, or that of the MLAs and MPs, dissatisfaction is visible. The Mood of the Nation survey reveals that a significant portion of the population is somewhat satisfied, which could be decisive in determining the results.
Government's Work:
According to the Mood of the Nation survey, 27% of people in Haryana expressed satisfaction with the government's work. 25% are somewhat satisfied, and 44% expressed dissatisfaction.
Source: aajtak
Chief Minister's Performance:
22% of people are satisfied with Chief Minister Nayab Saini’s work, 19% are somewhat satisfied, and 40% are dissatisfied.
Opposition's Role:
31% of people are satisfied with the opposition’s role, 22% are somewhat satisfied, and 34% are dissatisfied.
MPs' Performance:
In response to questions about MPs’ performance, 29% expressed satisfaction, 21% are somewhat satisfied, and 38% are dissatisfied. All 10 Lok Sabha seats in Haryana were won by BJP MPs. Both BJP and Congress won 5 seats each in the last Lok Sabha elections, reflecting people's dissatisfaction with BJP MPs. It’ll be interesting to see the public’s opinion now that Congress also has five MPs.
Source: aajtak
MLAs' Performance:
Regarding MLAs’ work, 33% expressed satisfaction, 20% are somewhat satisfied, and 40% are dissatisfied. The Haryana assembly has 41 BJP MLAs, 31 Congress MLAs, and 10 JJP MLAs. It will be interesting to see which group's MLAs are causing more dissatisfaction. The outcomes also depend on the stance of the 20% who are somewhat satisfied.
Unemployment and Inflation are Major Issues:
In Haryana, 45% of people indicated unemployment as the biggest issue. 14% mentioned inflation, 13% development, and 3% corruption. If unemployment and inflation are significant concerns for the public, these are not good signs for the ruling party. These were major issues in the Lok Sabha elections as well, where BJP lost five seats. Discontent on all fronts and these issues could make the elections challenging for BJP in Haryana.
Source: aajtak
Modi is the First Choice for PM:
51% of people in Haryana preferred Narendra Modi for PM, while 41% favored Rahul Gandhi.
What is Haryana's Message?
According to the Mood of the Nation survey, Haryana's voters are dissatisfied with the government's and Chief Minister's work, as well as MPs’ and MLAs’ performances. The public is also not satisfied with the opposition's performance, creating an opportunity for the Aam Aadmi Party. Sanjay Kumar indicated that these figures are a clear warning signal for BJP. The dissatisfaction among the public is evident across all issues. Ashutosh mentioned that in 2019, BJP won all 10 Lok Sabha seats, but only 40 assembly seats. Now, with only five Lok Sabha seats, there could be a landslide. BJP removed Khattar, but his replacement hasn’t established a strong identity yet.
What is the Opinion in Jammu & Kashmir?
Unemployment is the Biggest Issue:
47% of people in Jammu & Kashmir indicated unemployment as the biggest issue. 17% mentioned inflation, 11% development, and 2% law and order.
Modi is the First Choice for PM:
40% of people in Jammu & Kashmir preferred Narendra Modi for PM, while 38% chose Rahul Gandhi.
What is the Message from Jammu & Kashmir?
Sanjay Kumar mentioned that unemployment is a significant issue, and when it is discussed, not just the youth but everyone connects. BJP might face tough challenges. Ashutosh stated that if 47% of people claim unemployment is an issue, it becomes a matter of survival. In the 2014 elections, BJP won 25 seats from the Jammu region. Now the question is whether BJP can maintain these seats or not.
What is the Mood in Maharashtra?
Government's Work:
25% of people expressed satisfaction with the government’s work. 34% are somewhat satisfied, and 34% are dissatisfied.
Source: aajtak
Chief Minister's Performance:
35% of people are satisfied with Chief Minister Eknath Shinde’s work, 31% are somewhat satisfied, and 28% are dissatisfied. A significant portion of the population seems to trust CM Shinde. There is a large chunk of swing voters who could go either way. The direction of somewhat satisfied people could tilt the scales.
Opposition's Role:
Regarding the opposition’s role, 11% of people are satisfied, 21% are somewhat satisfied, and 30% are dissatisfied. A significant portion also chose the option
