NDA Forecasted to Win 324 Seats, BJP Might Not Achieve Majority: Survey Insights

Conducted with C-Voter by India Today, the 'Mood of the Nation' survey spans various states and constituencies from July 1 to August 14, 2025, to gauge public sentiment on potential government formation and seat allocation if elections were held today.
India Today's 'Mood

Source: aajtak

Should national elections be held today, the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) would see an increase to 324 seats, with BJP’s seats expected to rise from 240 to 260. Despite the surge, BJP may still fall short of the magic number of 272 for a majority. These outcomes are drawn from the 'Mood of the Nation' survey by India Today and C-Voter.

This expansive survey involved all states and Lok Sabha constituencies between July 1 and August 14, 2025, incorporating responses from 54,788 individuals of various age groups, castes, religions, and genders. Additionally, opinions from 152,038 people over the past 24 weeks were included, culminating in a comprehensive analysis based on a total of 206,826 voices. Notably, these figures have a potential margin of error: approximately 3% for broader estimates and 5% for specific nuances.

India Today along with C-Voter has conducted the 'Mood of the Nation' survey across all states and Lok Sabha constituencies from July 1 to August 14, 2025. The purpose was to gauge the nation's sentiment and predict potential government formation and seat distribution if elections were imminent.

Source: aajtak

Who Will Get How Many Votes If Elections Were Today?

According to the survey, the NDA could receive 46.7% of the vote share, INDIA Bloc might get 40.9%, and others could secure 12.4%. In 2024, NDA's vote share was at 43%, while the INDIA Bloc had 40%. The predictions from February anticipated 47% for NDA and 41% for the INDIA Bloc.

India Today and C-Voter conducted the 'Mood of the Nation’ survey across different regions and states from July 1 to August 14, 2025. The aim was to ascertain the national mood and potential seat distributions for upcoming elections.

Source: aajtak

Projected Seat Distribution if Elections Occurred Today

The survey sought to estimate potential seat allocation should elections occur imminently. Results suggest 260 seats for BJP, 97 for Congress, and 186 for others. In 2024, BJP secured 240 seats, and Congress secured 99. February estimates predicted BJP at 281 seats and Congress at 78. Vote share forecasts suggest BJP could capture 40.6%, Congress 20.8%, and others 38.6%.

Through the 'Mood of the Nation' survey by India Today and C-Voter, conducted between July 1 and August 14, 2025, insights were gathered from across the nation to understand the current sentiment and forecast possible outcomes if elections were imminent.

Source: aajtak

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