This morning, the US and Israel launched a major assault on Iran, marking the start of a significant conflict. Although it has just begun, experts predict it might last three to four days or possibly extend to 7-10 days, or even longer. We delve into expert opinions and analysis to understand the potential duration of this conflict, as well as the preparedness of the involved nations.
How Long Will the Conflict Last?
Foreign affairs specialist Wale Awad stated that this war is difficult to stop. Iran declared, 'You started it; we'll finish it', indicating their full preparedness.
From Experts: Retired Major General Vishambhar Dayal suggests the US may initiate with smaller strikes, but if Iran responds, the war could stretch into weeks or months. Analysts from the Atlantic Council state that while the US prepared for a short conflict, if Iran's leadership endures, it could prolong the engagement.
Source: aajtak
Numerous experts estimate the conflict's maximum duration at 7 to 10 days, given the US's arsenal. However, should Iran intensify its drone and missile strikes, the situation could extend. Reflecting on the 12-day conflict of 2025, experts suggest this strike could unfold similarly, albeit larger in scale. President Trump claimed it would conclude swiftly, but Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stated in an interview with Aaj Tak, 'We are prepared both for war and peace'.
What Are the US-Israel Preparedness?
The US and Israel have been gearing up for months. The US amassed its largest military presence in the Middle East since the 2003 Iraq War.
US Preparations:
The USS Abraham Lincoln and USS Gerald Ford, two large aircraft carriers, have been dispatched, each hosting over 70 fighter jets. The US has stationed 108 aerial tankers, cruise missiles, and F-22 jets. President Trump stated, 'We will bring Iran's missiles down to dust.'
The US targeted 30 sites, including Iran's nuclear plants, intelligence offices, and the Supreme Leader's residence. Experts believe the US aims to change Iran's leadership.
What Are Israel's Preparations?
Israel initiated 'Operation Epic Fury', striking preemptively fearing missile and drone attacks from Iran. Israeli fighter jets targeted 30 Iranian military installations, with the nation on emergency alert, and citizens seeking refuge in bunkers.
Israel's Defense Minister Israel Katz remarked, 'This is a preventive strike.' Hospitals are also on alert. Experts note that Israel has systems like the Iron Dome in place to intercept Iranian missiles.
Experts say, 'The US-Israel strategy is multi-layered, potentially prolonging the conflict.'
Source: aajtak
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What Are Iran's Preparations?
Iran is equally prepared, promising swift retaliation. They ensured the safety of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei by relocating him to a secure location. Iran launched missiles at US bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, and the UAE, along with 70 ballistic missiles aimed at Israel.
Iran harbors underground missile cities with concealed drones and missiles, and experts suggest Iran is receiving assistance from groups like Houthis and Hezbollah. Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi asserted that should the US proceed with attacks, they will respond to US interests.
According to the Atlantic Council, 'Iran is weak but can inflict pain on the US, such as closing oil routes.'
7-10 Days or Longer?
Retired General AK Sivaach mentioned on Aaj Tak, 'It's increasingly difficult to halt these conflicts, which have spread to Gulf countries.' This could mean the conflict lasts beyond 7-10 days. Experts like Mick Ryan from Futurista Doctrina caution that a war may start small but become protracted. If Iran continues its response, the war could stretch for weeks. However, if the US-Israel succeeds in toppling Iran’s leadership, it might end sooner.
Impact and Implications?
If prolonged, this conflict could heighten oil prices, destabilize the Middle East, and raise concerns for India due to the substantial Indian population present. With the conflict freshly started, experts suggest it might last 7-10 days but caution about potential extension. The US-Israel have made significant preparations, and Iran stands ready to retaliate.
