India Today Axis My India Lok Sabha Election Exit Poll Results 2024:
India's largest political battlefield has drawn its curtain. The nation has sealed its mandate for the 543 Lok Sabha seats within electronic voting machines. With the election process concluded, the tables are turned to June 4 for the official election results, but India Today and Axis My India have taken to exit polls to peel back the layers on public sentiment beforehand.
Bihar boasts 40 Lok Sabha seats. Nitish Kumar and the BJP's partnership, which marginalized the opposition in the 2019 elections, has raised questions about the resistance they will face this election cycle. The eagerly-awaited exit polls by India Today Axis My India suggest that the NDA is projected to secure between 29 to 33 seats while the India Block is estimated to win 7 to 10 seats.
Source: aajtak
If the exit poll estimates by India Today Axis My India translate into actual outcomes, the BJP may bag 13 to 15 seats, JD(U) between 9 and 11, and LJP-R could secure around five seats. Discussing the India Block, RJD is foreseen to win 6 to 7 seats and Congress stands the chance of winning 1 to 2 seats. Other parties are projected to collectively secure around 0 to 2 seats. The exit polls suggest a comfortable breeze for Pappu Yadav and Misa Bharti in the hotly-contested seats of Purnia and Patliputra.
Source: aajtak
According to India Today Axis My India's exit poll, the NDA is anticipated to receive 48%, the India Block 42%, and others 10% of the votes. Party-wise, RJD is predicted to be the frontrunner with 24% followed by the BJP at 21% and JD(U) at 19%. The LJP might land 6% of the votes, and Congress could secure around 10%.
Source: aajtak
NDA Tops Exit Polls with Female Voter Support
The exit poll by India Today Axis My India highlights that 50% of women chose NDA and 41% supported the India Block. Among male voters, 46% preferred NDA while 43% voted for the India Block. Rural voters are estimated to have given NDA 48% of their votes, whereas urban voters showed more support with 52%. In contrast, the India Block is expected to garner 42% in rural areas and 39% in urban locales.
Source: aajtak
Exit Polls Reflect Cast-wise Voting
On caste lines, the Baniya community reportedly favored NDA with 77% and the India Block with 14%. Brahmin voters are anticipated to show 79% support for NDA and 12% for the India Block, with Rajput voters also leaning heavily towards NDA at 76%. Overall, general category voters seemed to align with NDA at 77%, the India Block at 15%, and others collecting 8% of the votes.
Source: aajtak
Voting in Bihar Spanned Seven Phases for 40 Seats
Voting for Bihar's 40 seats unfolded over seven phases. The first phase on April 19 witnessed votes cast across four seats. The second phase on April 26 covered five seats, followed by five seats in the third phase on May 7, and another five seats in the fourth phase on May 13. The fifth phase saw five seats going to polls on May 20, the sixth phase included eight seats on May 25, and the final eighth phase on June 1 concluded the voting.
Source: aajtak
Key Contests and Political Reputations at Stake
Reputations are on the line in Bihar, especially in constituencies like Ujiarpur where Central Minister Nityanand Rai, Ara's RK Singh, and Begusarai's Giriraj Singh, all representing BJP, are contesting. RJD heavyweight Lalu Yadav's daughter Rohini Acharya is challenging incumbent BJP MP Rajiv Pratap Rudy in Saran. The Patliputra seat once again sees a duel between BJP's Ram Kripal Yadav and RJD's Misa Bharti. Meanwhile, independent candidate Pappu Yadav adds an edge to the race in Purnia.
Source: aajtak
It is the moment of truth for notable figures in the f Korean New Wave cinema, Pawan Singh who's stirring challenges for Upendra Kushwaha in constituency Kara Kat, HAM party's supremo Jitan Ram Manjhi from Gaya, and LJP (Ram Vilas) leader Chirag Paswan in Hajipur. Sheohar's JDU candidate Lovely Anand, Vaishali's LJP-R candidate Veena Devi, and RJD's Munna Shukla are also stepping into the arena with high stakes.
Reflecting on the 2019 Election Outcomes
Last general election, NDA celebrated victory in 39 out of 40 seats. BJP captured 17, JD(U) 16, and LJP six. The opposition alliance had to settle for just one seat. RJD dwindled to none, and Congress claimed a solitary victory in Kishanganj where they faced JD(U) under the NDA banner.
To stay abreast of all developments about the India Today-Axis My India Exit Poll, tune into aajtak.in. Additionally, you can also witness the Exit Poll on Aaj Tak's YouTube channel and enjoy the most precise exit poll forecasts before the election results, all on Aaj Tak.