Chhindwara Exit Poll 2024:
According to India Today Axis My India, the BJP holds a significant lead in the Chhindwara parliamentary constituency. If these exit polls bear out, the party could potentially sweep all 29 seats in Madhya Pradesh, with projections showing BJP winning between 28-29 seats while the Congress might be left clutching at straws with 0-1 seats. Chhindwara emerges as the only seat under a cloud of uncertainty.
For the BJP, strategizing to conquer the Chhindwara constituency, a historical obstacle, has involved wooing dissatisfied and powerful local Congress leaders and workers into their fold, weakening Congress's foothold on this battleground.
The shifting political landscape was palpable right up until polling day, with significant figures like Chhindwara Mayor Vikram Ahake astonishing everyone first by switching over to the BJP and then reversing course back to the Congress. Furthermore, local Congress MLA Kamlesh Shah and Kamal Nath's confidants Deepak Saxena and his son Ajay Saxena, among others, have also joined the BJP.
Kamal Nath, a veteran with nine victorious Lok Sabha elections from Chhindwara, had established an indelible legacy, so much so that even during the Congress wipeout of North India in the 1977 general elections, this particular bastion stood firm for the party. But the tide may be turning, as indicated by exit polls, with the BJP candidates appearing robust in their electoral clout.
Electoral Dynamics of Chhindwara:
- Total voters: 16,32,896 - Male voters: 8,24,832; Female voters: 8,08,051 - First-time voters aged 18-19: 53,555 - Chhindwara has the highest population of Scheduled Tribes, roughly 37%. - Scheduled Castes constitute about 12% of the populace. - Muslims make up roughly 5% of voters. - The rural electorate is close to 75%, with around 25% urban voters.
Source: aajtak
The India Today axis my india exit poll highlights a probable landslide for the BJP in Madhya Pradesh with 28-29 seats. The Congress, on the other hand, may find itself with a meager 0-1 seats. The predicted vote share for BJP is a commanding 61%, in contrast to the Congress's likelihood of obtaining 33% of votes. In other developments, independents and others may hold 6% of the electoral pie. This marks a significant shift from the 2019 elections, where the BJP secured 58% of the votes, Congress 34%, and BSP close to 2% in Madhya Pradesh.
Source: aajtak
In the past, Chhindwara constituency weathered strong political waves, but this time, BJP's candidates seem poised to tip the scales in their favor, leaving Indira's grand old party grappling for a toehold.