Polling in Delhi’s 70 assembly constituencies took place on February 5. Now, exit polls have started surfacing, indicating a significant political shift in the capital. According to the MATRIZE survey, there’s an intense tussle between BJP and Aam Aadmi Party, with BJP showing a minor lead. The exit poll numbers suggest that AAP could secure 32-37 seats, while BJP appears set to form the government with 35-40 seats. Meanwhile, Congress could possibly secure one seat.
What's in Chankya Strategy's Exit Poll?
Chankya Strategy's exit poll also indicates a lead for BJP. As per this survey, AAP might win 25-28 seats, while BJP is projected to obtain 39-44 seats. Congress may win 2-3 seats.
Poll Diary's Predicted BJP Government
Poll Diary’s exit poll also forecasts a shift with BJP forming the government. According to this poll, AAP could take 18-25 seats, whereas BJP might win 42-50 seats; Congress is seen securing 0-2 seats.
Source: aajtak
What's Insight from People's Exit Poll?
According to the People's Insight exit poll, AAP could win 25-29 seats, while BJP might secure 40-44 seats. Congress shows signs of opening its account too.
In the P-Marq exit poll, projections suggest AAP might get 21-31 seats, while BJP seems likely to achieve 39-49 seats. Congress could open its account here as well.
Review Other Exit Polls
According to JVC's exit poll, BJP may receive 39-45 seats, and AAP could earn 22-31 seats, with Congress potentially winning one seat.
The P-Mark exit poll also indicates BJP forming the government, expecting to win 39-49 seats, while AAP might achieve 21-31 seats.
Voting Conducted Across 70 Seats
In the capital, all 70 seats saw competition from 699 candidates. With voting concluded, the fate of candidates is now sealed in the EVMs. The countdown is on for February 8, the day the Delhi Assembly results will be unveiled.
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The Aam Aadmi Party has ruled Delhi, with Atishi becoming the chief minister. AAP won consecutive victories in 2013, 2015, and 2020, with Arvind Kejriwal at the helm. However, caught in a money laundering case linked to a liquor scam, Kejriwal was jailed in March 2024. Released on bail in September, he stepped down, paving the way for Atishi to take over.
This election is crucial for AAP. Meanwhile, BJP and Congress are striving for a comeback. After winning Delhi in 1993, BJP has not tasted victory since. Congress achieved successive victories in 1998, 2003, and 2008 under Sheila Dikshit’s leadership. This election witnesses formidable competition for AAP from both BJP and Congress. With roughly 15.6 million voters, the stakes are high.
Which Delhi Seats Are Under Spotlight?
In Delhi elections, several seats draw significant attention. Key figures like Arvind Kejriwal, Atishi, Parvesh Verma, Ramesh Bidhuri, and Kailash Gahlot are in the race. The New Delhi seat is highly watched, with a contest between AAP's Kejriwal, BJP’s Parvesh Verma, and the Congress's Sandeep Dikshit, son of veteran leader Sheila Dikshit.
On the Patparganj seat, AAP's Awadh Ojha, BJP's Ravinder Singh Negi, and Congress's Anil Chaudhary are the key contenders. The Rohini seat in northwest Delhi sees a battle between AAP's Pradeep and BJP's Vijender Gupta.
In Kalkaji, a triangular contest features current CM Atishi from AAP, former MP Ramesh Bidhuri from BJP, and Alka Lamba from Congress. The Jangpura seat observes a contest among AAP's Manish Sisodia, BJP's Sardar Tarvinder Singh Marwah, and Congress's Farhad Suri.
Understanding Exit Polls
Exit polls offer a glimpse into probable election outcomes. They involve surveys where voters are asked whom they voted for, conducted right on polling day. Polling agencies deploy teams outside polling booths to question voters, analyze their responses, and predict the results. Several agencies conduct exit polls in India.
What Are the Guidelines for Exit Polls?
Guidelines for exit polls in India were first issued in 1998. As per the Representation of People's Act, 1951, exit polls cannot be broadcast until all voting phases conclude, with results shown half an hour after the last phase ends. Violation of election commission guidelines, such as showcasing exit polls or surveys during the election process, can lead to up to two years imprisonment, a fine, or both.
